Tuesday, January 17, 2012

2012 Oscar Foreign Films Predictions


Is almost sure that today Tuesday, January 17 the Academy will announce the 9-film shortlist as will give nominees 48hrs to comply with the following requirement:

III. SUBMISSION G. - Countries whose motion pictures are shortlisted will be required to provide a second English-language subtitled print or DCP of the film to facilitate voting screenings. This second print or DCP is due at the Academy by 5 p.m. PT on Thursday, January 19, 2012.

Still if is not today then has to be tomorrow.

As many I’m really curious about what films the Academy will select this year and to entertain myself and hopefully you readers, here are my predictions.

Will be nominated FOR SURE
Iran: جدایی نادر از سیمین Jodaeiye Nader az Simin (Nader and Simin, A Separation), Asghar Farhadi

So, I just need to guess 8 more… hmm…
Germany: Pina, Wim Wenders (not really sure as will be nominated as Best Documentary)
Poland: W ciemności (In Darkness), Agnieszka Holland
China: 金陵十三釵 (The Flowers of War), Zhang Yimou
France: La guerre est déclarée (Declaration of War), Valérie Donzelli
Finland: Le Havre, Aki Kaurismäki
Mexico: Miss Bala, Gerado Naranjo
Brazil: Tropa de Elite 2 (Elite Squad: The Enemy Within), José Padilha
Israel: הערת שוליים (Footnote), Joseph Cedar

Above are the ones I’m guessing Academy will short list, but if selection depended from one person, me, then the list should look like this:

Turkey: Bir Zamanlar Anadolu’da (Once Upon a Time in Anatolia), Nuri Bilge Ceylan
Germany: Pina, Wim Wender
Sweden: Svinalängorna (Beyond), Pernilla August
Lebanon: وهلّأ لوين؟ Wo Hallah La Wen? (Where Do We Go Now?), Nadine Labaki
Iran: جدایی نادر از سیمین Jodaeiye Nader az Simin (Nader and Simin, A Separation), Asghar Farhadi
Finland: Le Havre, Aki Kaurismäki
France: La guerre est déclarée (Declaration of War), Valérie Donzelli
Italy: Terraferma, Emanuele Crialese
United Kingdom: Patagonia, Marc Evans

… and my Award goes to… well, not yet but believe that we all know who will win and if does it will be extremely well –deserved.

Cheers!

5 comments

On January 18, Storyteller said...
@luca Si, grazie Luca, Io capisco l'Italiano... so have read your interesting blog... as mentioned, was a "bad" joke that an English-speaking country could win the foreign-language Oscar -- something like The Artist winning the Sound award (at BAFTA). :)

@Bonjour Tristesse, the wait is killing me, lol! Hope do the announcement early today... :)

On January 18, Anonymous said...
Nice one! Our predictions are almost exactly the same, except I chose Japan instead of Mexico.

I guess we will find out how close we were sometime today.

On January 18, Luca Fontò said...
"Patagonia" is one of the most awful movies I've ever seen. "Bullhead" is original, rude, strong, very masculine but also so sweet...
Ireland has never win a foreign language Oscar, too, and "As If I Am Not There" is a kick in the mouth. The very ridiculous but so funny film (and gay-interested) is "Happy Happy" (Norway).

(My blog's name, "il film straniero", means "the foreign-language film": this is why I know all these pictures, because I've seen all of them. You must admit that "A Separation" deserves all of these awards - I'm pretty sure it'll be nominated for the original screenplay, too).

Luca Fontò
ilfilmstraniero.blogspot.com

On January 18, Storyteller said...
LOL! was not serious ... sort of a joke, but movie is not as bad as you can imagine and UK has never win a foreign language Oscar! I like Terraferma better than The Turin Horse (too classical), let's see if I enjoy Bullhead... the point is NO I wasn't serious.... LOL! But the first 7 yes I mean them. :)

On January 17, Luca Fontò said...
"PATAGONIA"? Oh God, are you serious?
Not "Patagonia" but "Bullhead" (Belgium), and not "Terraferma" but "The Turin Horse" (Hungary). The others are perfect ("Where Do We Go Now" <3).

Luca Fontò
ilfilmstraniero.blogspot.com